AN INTERESTING EVENT
|
|
Thread rating:  |
AnAmericanCitizen - 09 Mar 2009 21:59 GMT An Interesting Event in Victoria, Texas Victoria, Texas (pop. 55,000) is a town about 80 miles west of Houston. Local Hispanic leaders there, in opposition to pending Immigration Legislation, boycotted all Caucasian owned businesses in the Victoria area this past weekend as a demonstration of their economic impact on the community. The boycott was declared a success by the Hispanic community, noting that revenue in Caucasian owned businesses was down by 19%. Business owners declared the boycott a success as well, pointing out that shoplifting was reduced by 77%, money orders sent out of the country were down by 97%, and the cost of daily clean-up and trash collection was down by 84%. Shoppers reported that they could actually hear English being spoken throughout the community for the first time in recent memory, and customers actually paid for purchases with real money, not government debit cards.
Never forget 1986:
In 1986 "we the people" were promised better enforcement, secure borders and we now continue to find millions of illiterate, unskilled workers flooding our cities,destroying our public education and social service systems while few of the other provisions, including sanctions against employers were enforced....J. McLaughlin
GeekBoy - 09 Mar 2009 22:14 GMT http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp
> An Interesting Event in Victoria, Texas Victoria, Texas (pop. 55,000) is a > town about [quoted text clipped - 30 lines] > against > employers were enforced....J. McLaughlin Patriot Games - 09 Mar 2009 22:49 GMT >http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN Victoria, Texas....
>> An Interesting Event in Victoria, Texas Victoria, Texas (pop. 55,000) is a >> town about [quoted text clipped - 26 lines] >> against >> employers were enforced....J. McLaughlin Kickin' a.s and Takin' Names - 09 Mar 2009 23:05 GMT > On Mon, 9 Mar 2009 16:14:16 -0500, "GeekBoy" > [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN > Victoria, Texas.... And you did??
Patriot Games - 09 Mar 2009 23:22 GMT >> >http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN >> Victoria, Texas.... >And you did?? Did I claim I did? No.
I merely brought to the attention of the folks at Google that you needed to be PUNISHED.
Hahahahahhahahahahahah!!!
>"Patriot Games" <Patriot@America.Com> wrote in message >news:l1g8r456rl58mhbpnj67um3sn5qvaa584n@4ax.com... [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] >> HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHA!! >So why am I still posting?? Because you're using:
From: "Kickin' a.s and Takin' Names" <oldredneck@hillbilly.net>
Google BANNED:
From: "Kickin' a.s and Takin' Names" <PopUlist349@hotmail.com>
HHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!
Go here then click on "View Profile"
http://groups.google.com/group/alt.politics/browse_thread/thread/7bff49d8fad57b3 1/25c321e8bf5f0f2b?hl=en&lnk=gst&q=Kickin%27+Ass+and+Takin%27+Names#25c321e8bf5f 0f2b
Or: http://tinyurl.com/b99yum
Or go here then click on "View Profile"
http://groups.google.com/group/alt.education/browse_thread/thread/21bbebac40bd6d 76/248b1fadc1816734?hl=en&lnk=gst&q=PopUlist349%40hotmail.com#248b1fadc1816734
Or: http://tinyurl.com/bnhzcy
And you'll get: "This account has been banned because it violated the Google Groups Terms Of Use."
Proof: http://groups.google.com/groups/profile?hl=en&enc_user=x6SAGRcAAABxt0Pzd4KqkFQwu ufa7Ek6HqZiDvCVswhrZ6TQxKj0ww
http://tinyurl.com/4em3r3
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHA!!!!
====================
You're the PROVEN Fraud. (Not me...)
You're the PROVEN Liar. (Not me...)
And NOW you must wear the ASSFUCKED BY GOOGLE banner because TRULY IT IS A FACT that YOU were PUBLICALLY BUTTFUCKED by Google, YOU were PUBLICALLY URINATED ON by ME, and YOU get to wear THAT STAIN FOREVER!
There are ONE BILLION Internet users who KNOW NOW that YOU WERE PUBLICALLY BUTTFUCKED by Google!
There are ONE BILLION Internet users who KNOW NOW that YOU WERE PUBLICALLY URINATED ON by ME!
J. J. Farrell - 10 Mar 2009 04:23 GMT >> http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp > > Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN > Victoria, Texas.... True. However, the fact that AnAmericanCitizen claims that this boycott happened "this past weekend" (7/8 March 2009) is unlikely to be true, since an email with almost identical wording and identical statistics has been circulating since May 2008.
Is it likely that all the Caucasian-owned businesses in the Vicotria area did a full stock-take before and after the weekend, and that they had all completed their second stock-take, calculated up all their clean-up and trash costs, and collated and published their data between the end of Sunday and mid-afternoon Monday?
>>> An Interesting Event in Victoria, Texas Victoria, Texas (pop. 55,000) is a >>> town about [quoted text clipped - 26 lines] >>> against >>> employers were enforced....J. McLaughlin AnAmericanCitizen - 10 Mar 2009 05:58 GMT >>> http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >> [quoted text clipped - 35 lines] >>>> money, not >>>> government debit cards.
>>> Never forget 1986:
>>>> In 1986 "we the people" were promised better enforcement, secure >>>> borders and we now continue to find millions of illiterate, unskilled >>>> workers flooding our cities,destroying our public education and social >>>> service systems while few of the other provisions, including sanctions >>>> against >>>> employers were enforced....J. McLaughlin (sigh) The Snope article refers to a number of similar stories. As for Southern California, I can personally vouch for the peaceful day enjoyed by our citizens on that day in May 2006 when Hispanics staged a boycott. Not only was traffic down considerably, almost all things associated with that traffic were too. Perhaps some things were estimated, but they did later prove to be true.
I notice Snopes does not specifically label the Victoria,Texas claim as false and it's possible only the date (last weekend) is incorrect.....AAC
Patriot Games - 10 Mar 2009 16:12 GMT >>> http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 8 lines] >clean-up and trash costs, and collated and published their data between >the end of Sunday and mid-afternoon Monday? Who cares what is or isn't "likely?"
The actual facts are all that matter.
In case you haven't figured it out Snopes was compromised a while back and is mostly unreliable now.
J. J. Farrell - 11 Mar 2009 03:38 GMT >>>> http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >>> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] > > Who cares what is or isn't "likely?" Everyone who prefers facts to lies and propaganda.
> The actual facts are all that matter. I agree entirely. That's why it's necessary to analyse information which is presented as fact to decide how likely it is to be fact. What are the facts in this case? The only reasonable way for me to determine that is read what was posted. Based on what it says and when it was posted, it appears to be lies.
> In case you haven't figured it out Snopes was compromised a while back > and is mostly unreliable now. Patriot Games - 11 Mar 2009 15:22 GMT >>>>> http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >>>> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] >> Who cares what is or isn't "likely?" >Everyone who prefers facts to lies and propaganda. Correct. "Lies and propaganda" usually include useless observations such as "likely."
FACTS always stand alone and NEVER rely on what is or isn't "likely" in the unsupported opinion of a fool.
>> The actual facts are all that matter. >I agree entirely. That's why it's necessary to analyse information which >is presented as fact to decide how likely it is to be fact. Wrong. FACTS always stand alone. FACTS don't have a likelihood. FACTS either are or they are not.
>What are the facts in this case? There aren't any.
The Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN Victoria, Texas.
You have an unsubstantiated claim by an unknown author and ZERO research by Snopes.
>The only reasonable way for me to determine that is >read what was posted. Based on what it says and when it was posted, it >appears to be lies. FACTS do not 'appear' to be anything, FACTS don't have appearances, FACTS are or they are not.
You are free to BELIEVE anything you want but you do so based exclusively on what you want to believe and not on actual FACTS.
J. J. Farrell - 16 Mar 2009 02:28 GMT >>>>>> http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >>>>> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 16 lines] > FACTS always stand alone and NEVER rely on what is or isn't "likely" > in the unsupported opinion of a fool. True; of no relevance, but true.
>>> The actual facts are all that matter. >> I agree entirely. That's why it's necessary to analyse information which >> is presented as fact to decide how likely it is to be fact. > > Wrong. FACTS always stand alone. FACTS don't have a likelihood. > FACTS either are or they are not. Of course; and people have to work out for themselves how likely claims are to be facts.
>> What are the facts in this case? > > There aren't any. How do you know?
> The Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN Victoria, Texas. How is that relevant to anything? What difference would interviewing anybody in Victoria, Texas make to anything to do with either the original story or Snopes' comments on it as far as facts go?
> You have an unsubstantiated claim by an unknown author ... which may or may not contain facts ...
> and ZERO research by Snopes. Snopes obviously did some research on the history of the text, which can easily be repeated by most people.
>> The only reasonable way for me to determine that is >> read what was posted. Based on what it says and when it was posted, it [quoted text clipped - 5 lines] > You are free to BELIEVE anything you want but you do so based > exclusively on what you want to believe and not on actual FACTS. What you say about facts is true, but irrelevant to our lives. There is next to nothing which any of us know to be facts. Even if all AnAmericanCitizen's statements are true, there is no-one on earth who can know that they are facts. To do so, for example, that person would have had to observe and record every transaction in every business in Victoria both during the boycott and during the period it was being compared against. If he didn't do that, he couldn't know whether or not the statement about the change in revenue was a fact.
What intelligent people do all the time is make a critical assessment of statements which are made to them to decide how likely those statements are to be facts. If I spoke to someone in Victoria who told me they'd been there at the time and they believed the statements to be true, that would increase my acceptance of those statements as true. If I spoke to thousands of people in Victoria, including hundreds who were very pleased by those statements and hundreds who were very unhappy about those statements, and everyone said that the statements were true; and some people who didn't like them said they'd gone to great lengths to check the numbers and assess the honesty of those reporting and compiling the numbers, and much as they didn't like the results they were forced to admit that they were fair and accurate; then that would greatly increase my acceptance of them as true. I'd then go as far as to say they were very probably facts; that's as close as most people get about most things.
Patriot Games - 16 Mar 2009 14:40 GMT >>>>>>> http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >>>>>> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 22 lines] >Of course; and people have to work out for themselves how likely claims >are to be facts. A claim is never a fact. By definition a Claim can't be a Fact.
>>> What are the facts in this case? >> There aren't any. >How do you know? Because none were presented.
>> The Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN Victoria, Texas. >How is that relevant to anything? What difference would interviewing >anybody in Victoria, Texas make to anything to do with either the >original story or Snopes' comments on it as far as facts go? The original post was specifically and exclusively about Victoria, Texas.
>> You have an unsubstantiated claim by an unknown author >... which may or may not contain facts ... Correct. We don't know.
>> and ZERO research by Snopes. >Snopes obviously did some research on the history of the text, which can >easily be repeated by most people. No, not the "history" of the text. They collected unrelated anecdotes in an attempt to debunk the Claim.
>>> The only reasonable way for me to determine that is >>> read what was posted. Based on what it says and when it was posted, it [quoted text clipped - 11 lines] >compared against. If he didn't do that, he couldn't know whether or not >the statement about the change in revenue was a fact. Not exactly. A marginally decent investigation would involve talking directly to a dozen business owners actually IN Victoria, Texas, and collecting their personal account.
>What intelligent people do all the time is make a critical assessment of >statements which are made to them to decide how likely those statements >are to be facts. If I spoke to someone in Victoria who told me they'd >been there at the time and they believed the statements to be true, that >would increase my acceptance of those statements as true. So you are prone to accepting unsubstantiated religious belief and you rationalize your religious belief-based behavior by pretending its "what intelligent people" do?
>If I spoke to >thousands of people in Victoria, including hundreds who were very [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] >say they were very probably facts; that's as close as most people get >about most things. Remember, facts stand alone, they require ZERO belief, including inherited belief, referential belief, second-hand belief, etc.
A simple approach is to interview a dozen business owners and ask them what they experienced and what their figures for the weekend were. Also, ask each of them for a reference.
So, let's examine your paragraph:
>If I spoke to >thousands of people in Victoria, including hundreds who were very >pleased Irrelevant. Facts exist (or don't exist) irregardless of our feelings about them.
>and hundreds who were very unhappy about >those statements, Irrelevant. Facts exist (or don't exist) irregardless of our feelings about them.
>and everyone said that the statements were true; This would be YOU using inherited belief, referential belief, and second-hand belief to pretend you had acquired a FACT.
>said they'd gone to great lengths to >check the numbers and assess the honesty of those reporting and >compiling the numbers, and much as they didn't like the results they >were forced to admit that they were fair and accurate; then that would >greatly increase my acceptance of them as true. Again, FACTS don't require "acceptance." FACTS exist wholly apart from us whether we accept them or not.
>I'd then go as far as to say they were very probably facts; that's as >close as most people get about most things. In your example, if you have people who did the research and compiled the numbers then you have FACTS.
In this case we have ZERO Facts because Snopes has become fully compromised and exists today merely a Smear Machine that uses classic debunking and smear techniques instead of actual research.
J. J. Farrell - 17 Mar 2009 01:28 GMT >>>>>>>> http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >>>>>>> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 24 lines] > > A claim is never a fact. By definition a Claim can't be a Fact. Nonsense. Anyone can say and claim anything; if what they claim is true, then it's a fact, if not it isn't.
>>>> What are the facts in this case? >>> There aren't any. >> How do you know? > > Because none were presented. Quite a few things were presented as facts.
>>> The Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN Victoria, Texas. >> How is that relevant to anything? What difference would interviewing [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > The original post was specifically and exclusively about Victoria, > Texas. So? What does that have to do with whether or not its claims were facts?
>>> You have an unsubstantiated claim by an unknown author >> ... which may or may not contain facts ... > > Correct. We don't know. Ah, so you accept that they could be facts despite saying above that they couldn't be.
>>> and ZERO research by Snopes. >> Snopes obviously did some research on the history of the text, which can >> easily be repeated by most people. > > No, not the "history" of the text. They collected unrelated anecdotes > in an attempt to debunk the Claim. The one and only thing Snopes says about the Victoria text is that it appeared in May 2008; that is, they presented a brief history of the text. Quick and easy research supports that claim.
>>>> The only reasonable way for me to determine that is >>>> read what was posted. Based on what it says and when it was posted, it [quoted text clipped - 15 lines] > directly to a dozen business owners actually IN Victoria, Texas, and > collecting their personal account. Oh, so you don't care about facts, you prefer to accept what you call unsubstantiated religious belief. Interesting.
>> What intelligent people do all the time is make a critical assessment of >> statements which are made to them to decide how likely those statements [quoted text clipped - 5 lines] > rationalize your religious belief-based behavior by pretending its > "what intelligent people" do? No.
>> If I spoke to >> thousands of people in Victoria, including hundreds who were very [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] > Remember, facts stand alone, they require ZERO belief, including > inherited belief, referential belief, second-hand belief, etc. Correct. How is that relevant? You can only know that something is a fact if you observe it for yourself under well controlled conditions.
> A simple approach is to interview a dozen business owners and ask them > what they experienced and what their figures for the weekend were. > Also, ask each of them for a reference. I see; so you prefer inherited belief, referential belief, and second hand belief to facts; interesting.
> So, let's examine your paragraph: > [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > Irrelevant. Facts exist (or don't exist) irregardless of our feelings > about them. True, but irrelevant. We're doing research to determine how likely certain claims are to be facts. The vested interests of those we are questioning are very relevant to our assessment of how likely they are to be telling the truth.
>> and hundreds who were very unhappy about >> those statements, > > Irrelevant. Facts exist (or don't exist) irregardless of our feelings > about them. True but irrelevant; we're asking for information, and vested interests are relevant to the level of trust we can give to the information provided. Some people may simply lie if they don't like the information you are asking for. Others may unconsciously misrepresent information they feel strongly about even if they mean to tell what they believe to be the truth.
>> and everyone said that the statements were true; > > This would be YOU using inherited belief, referential belief, and > second-hand belief to pretend you had acquired a FACT. Nonsense. I can't acquire a fact and have no pretence to do so. I can acquire a level of confidence in whether or not a claim is a fact. By carefully collecting evidence from as wide a range of sources as possible, I can achieve a couple of things:
1) A degree of confidence in whether or not its even possible to get to to bottom of the question. If I end up with two large groups of sources, one which says the event never happened at all, the other which says that it did and the results are as stated, then we're probably on a hiding to nothing. It would be hard to have any confidence in the end results.
2) Assuming we get past (1), then if all the sources say the event happened we can be fairly sure that it did. If all sources with all vested interests say the results were as stated, then we can be fairly confident that they were. If different sources report different results, then we can either settle for a reasonable confidence that the results are in the range we find; or we can do a lot more research to look into how the different sources got their different results, assess how trustworthy each source is, and so on, to get some degree of confidence in a more precise figure.
>> said they'd gone to great lengths to >> check the numbers and assess the honesty of those reporting and [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > Again, FACTS don't require "acceptance." FACTS exist wholly apart > from us whether we accept them or not. Agreed, but irrelevant. You keep repeating information about facts which no-one is disputing and which isn't relevant to the discussion; why?
>> I'd then go as far as to say they were very probably facts; that's as >> close as most people get about most things. > > In your example, if you have people who did the research and compiled > the numbers then you have FACTS. Complete and utter nonsense. I would have a certain level of confidence in whether or not the claims were facts. The more evidence in favour of their being facts, the wider the source base and range of vested interests in the source base, the smaller the evidence against the claims, then the higher my level of confidence that the claims are facts. I do not have the facts unless I observed all aspects of the event myself and was sure that I was not being hoodwinked in any way.
> In this case we have ZERO Facts because Snopes has become fully > compromised and exists today merely a Smear Machine that uses classic > debunking and smear techniques instead of actual research. I don't know why you keep banging on about Snopes, or how the claimed compromising of Snopes is relevant. Snopes' only claim about the Victoria text is that it appeared in May 2008. Brief personal research suggests that that is true.
Patriot Games - 17 Mar 2009 18:06 GMT >>>>>>>>> http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >>>>>>>> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 25 lines] >Nonsense. Anyone can say and claim anything; if what they claim is true, >then it's a fact, if not it isn't. Silly semantics....
>>>>> What are the facts in this case? >>>> There aren't any. >>> How do you know? >> Because none were presented. >Quite a few things were presented as facts. Silly semantics....
>>>> The Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN Victoria, Texas. >>> How is that relevant to anything? What difference would interviewing [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] >> Texas. >So? What does that have to do with whether or not its claims were facts? Since the original post was specifically and exclusively about Victoria, Texas, the research needs to be specifically and exclusively about Victoria, Texas.
>>>> You have an unsubstantiated claim by an unknown author >>> ... which may or may not contain facts ... >> Correct. We don't know. >Ah, so you accept that they could be facts despite saying above that >they couldn't be. No, claims are facts. Claims are claims. Facts are facts. Claims may be FACTUAL but they are still claims.
>>>> and ZERO research by Snopes. >>> Snopes obviously did some research on the history of the text, which can [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] >appeared in May 2008; that is, they presented a brief history of the >text. Quick and easy research supports that claim. Yet, as the basis for the entire entry, they then completely ignored it...
>>>>> The only reasonable way for me to determine that is >>>>> read what was posted. Based on what it says and when it was posted, it [quoted text clipped - 16 lines] >Oh, so you don't care about facts, you prefer to accept what you call >unsubstantiated religious belief. Interesting. If a business owner actually IN Victoria, Texas, says they experienced a sales increase and/or a shoplifting decline then its a fact.
If a business owner actually IN Victoria, Texas, says they heard that maybe so-and-so down the street experienced a sales increase and/or a shoplifting decline then its a claim.
If Snopes FAILS to contact ANYBODY actually IN Victoria, Texas, then it shoddy, worthless, compromised research.
>>> What intelligent people do all the time is make a critical assessment of >>> statements which are made to them to decide how likely those statements [quoted text clipped - 20 lines] >Correct. How is that relevant? You can only know that something is a >fact if you observe it for yourself under well controlled conditions. Not exactly. I don't have to repeat all sorts of experiments to prove to myself that the Earth is round and not flat.
>> A simple approach is to interview a dozen business owners and ask them >> what they experienced and what their figures for the weekend were. >> Also, ask each of them for a reference. >I see; so you prefer inherited belief, referential belief, and second >hand belief to facts; interesting. You're becoming boring...
>> So, let's examine your paragraph: >>> If I spoke to [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] >True, but irrelevant. We're doing research to determine how likely >certain claims are to be facts. That's not "research," that's a form of mental masturbation.
>The vested interests of those we are >questioning are very relevant to our assessment of how likely they are [quoted text clipped - 40 lines] >Agreed, but irrelevant. You keep repeating information about facts which > no-one is disputing and which isn't relevant to the discussion; why? Because it exposes your bias toward the preferential debunking of that which you disagree. Exactly the way Snopes tried to pretend they did research when in fact they did not.
>>> I'd then go as far as to say they were very probably facts; that's as >>> close as most people get about most things. [quoted text clipped - 14 lines] >Victoria text is that it appeared in May 2008. Brief personal research >suggests that that is true. Hahahahahahhaah!!
You're dismissed.
J. J. Farrell - 25 Mar 2009 01:49 GMT >>>>>>>>>> http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >>>>>>>>> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 27 lines] > > Silly semantics.... Not at all, the core of the issue, and correct. The idea that a claim can't be a fact is ludicrous.
>>>>>> What are the facts in this case? >>>>> There aren't any. [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > > Silly semantics.... In what way? Many things were claimed as fact in the original posting, and one of them at least is clearly not a fact. There are no silly semantics involved, just normal English.
>>>>> The Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN Victoria, Texas. >>>> How is that relevant to anything? What difference would interviewing [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] > Victoria, Texas, the research needs to be specifically and exclusively > about Victoria, Texas. It is not necessary to do any research at all about Victoria, Texas, to look into when the text about Victoria started circulating. The only thing Snopes discusses with regard to the Victoria text is when it started circulating.
>>>>> You have an unsubstantiated claim by an unknown author >>>> ... which may or may not contain facts ... [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > No, claims are facts. Claims are claims. Facts are facts. Claims > may be FACTUAL but they are still claims. Silly semantics. A claim is what somebody says to be true. It may or may not be true. If it is true, then it is a fact.
>>>>> and ZERO research by Snopes. >>>> Snopes obviously did some research on the history of the text, which can [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] > Yet, as the basis for the entire entry, they then completely ignored > it... What do you mean? All Snopes says about the Victoria text is when it started circulating. That's easily shown to be more or less correct. I don't know why you keep going on about it.
>>>>>> The only reasonable way for me to determine that is >>>>>> read what was posted. Based on what it says and when it was posted, it [quoted text clipped - 19 lines] > If a business owner actually IN Victoria, Texas, says they experienced > a sales increase and/or a shoplifting decline then its a fact. You seem to be remarkably naive. There have been occasions in the past when people have not told the truth. It may even happen again.
> If a business owner actually IN Victoria, Texas, says they heard that > maybe so-and-so down the street experienced a sales increase and/or a > shoplifting decline then its a claim. Just the same as when anyone else says it; and in just the same way, that claim may or may not be a fact. Most people try to make assessments of how likely claimants are to be correct. All else being equal, the closer someone is to the original occurrence, the more useful what that person has to say is likely to be. If you're talking to the person who claims to have had the experience, you mainly need to consider the likelihood of their being mistaken or deliberately lying; if you're hearing it second hand (or more distantly) you also need to allow for the story having got garbled along the way, again either accidentally or deliberately. You can't know it's a fact unless you observed all aspects of it yourself; you can have varying degrees of confidence in its being a fact depending on the evidence available.
A few people believe everything they read or hear. A frightening number of people decide whether or not it fits in with their prejudices, believe it if it does and don't believe it if it doesn't. Thankfully many people try to work out whether or not it is likely to be true using whatever means are at their disposal; that includes assessment of the reliability of the source, looking for inconsistencies in the story, checking the citations and references provided (the absence of which is information in itself); if they care a lot they might spend more time and effort on more thorough and extensive checks; eventually they get confident that it's true, confident that it's false, or put it aside as a claim which they don't care enough about to pursue any further; depending on their confidence level they then let it influence their thinking.
> If Snopes FAILS to contact ANYBODY actually IN Victoria, Texas, then > it shoddy, worthless, compromised research. You still haven't explained why it is necessary to contact anyone in Victoria, Texas in order to comment on when a text started circulating. The one and only thing Snopes discusses about the Victoria text is when it started circulating.
>>>> What intelligent people do all the time is make a critical assessment of >>>> statements which are made to them to decide how likely those statements [quoted text clipped - 23 lines] > Not exactly. I don't have to repeat all sorts of experiments to prove > to myself that the Earth is round and not flat. Exactly what I've been saying all along, and what you've been vehemently arguing against. According to you, this indicates that you are prone to accepting unsubstantiated religious belief. What it actually means is that you do the same as most people; you assess the available evidence, you assess the trustworthiness of the people presenting the evidence, you make judgements about the quality of their evidence; if you're interested in the truth rather than confirming a prejudice, you look into all other theories, the evidence for them, and the trustworthiness of that evidence. You compare and contrast the possibilities and the strength of evidence and you decide which is the most likely; you also make a judgement about how likely the most promising theory is to be true (for example, it may appear more likely than all other theories, but still not explain everything).
>>> A simple approach is to interview a dozen business owners and ask them >>> what they experienced and what their figures for the weekend were. [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > > You're becoming boring... I was puzzled why you were proposing a limited and error-prone subset of the approach I was recommending, which you had condemned as "unsubstantiated religious belief". It does seem a pointless discussion now that you've confirmed that that's how you work, like everyone else with any intelligence.
>>> So, let's examine your paragraph: >>>> If I spoke to [quoted text clipped - 6 lines] > > That's not "research," that's a form of mental masturbation. So what would count as research in this case? You've proposed a limited subset of the same mechanism. If what we're both proposing is mental masturbation, what would count as research?
>> The vested interests of those we are >> questioning are very relevant to our assessment of how likely they are [quoted text clipped - 44 lines] > which you disagree. Exactly the way Snopes tried to pretend they did > research when in fact they did not. What on earth are you talking about? What are you claiming I disagree with? What bias? How does the definition of the nature of facts expose bias? Again, why do you keep bringing Snopes into this? Where does Snopes try to pretend to have done research into this? All that Snopes says about the Victoria text is when it started circulating, and they appear to be correct about that.
>>>> I'd then go as far as to say they were very probably facts; that's as >>>> close as most people get about most things. [quoted text clipped - 16 lines] > > Hahahahahahhaah!! What exactly is funny? Why do you keep bringing Snopes into this, when they have next to nothing to say about this text and what little they say appears to be correct?
> You're dismissed. What do you mean?
f.barnes - 11 Mar 2009 17:33 GMT > >>>http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp > >> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] > > Who cares what is or isn't "likely?" It is likely that you will be killed or injured if you walk across a busy freeway. But who cares, it's only likely, it's not a fact, so walk anyway.
> The actual facts are all that matter. > > In case you haven't figured it out Snopes was compromised a while back > and is mostly unreliable now. Patriot Games - 11 Mar 2009 23:06 GMT >> >>>http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >> >> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 11 lines] >It is likely that you will be killed or injured if you walk across a >busy freeway. So, in YOUR world the clock runs both forward or backward depending on how you feel?
>But who cares, it's only likely, it's not a fact, so >walk anyway. Using "likelihood" to predict what might happen is (generally) reasonable when based on PAST FACTS.
Using "likelihood" to guesstimate what DID or DIDN'T happen is (generally) completely ignorant.
f.barnes - 16 Mar 2009 03:52 GMT > On Wed, 11 Mar 2009 09:33:48 -0700 (PDT), "f.barnes" > [quoted text clipped - 26 lines] > Using "likelihood" to guesstimate what DID or DIDN'T happen is > (generally) completely ignorant.- Hide quoted text - Then you don't believe in evolution or guilty by circumstantial evidence?
Patriot Games - 16 Mar 2009 14:18 GMT >> >> >>>http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >> >> >> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 21 lines] >Then you don't believe in evolution or guilty by circumstantial >evidence? Your desperation is becoming obvious.
Why would a sane and intelligent person use 'Belief' as a crutch to support bad, incomplete or failed Science? If "evolution" requires 'Belief' then its Religion and not Science. The basic portions of Evolution are established by stand-alone scientific fact, the remaining portions of Evolution are simply Unknown (so far).
"Circumstantial evidence" as used in a legal proceeding is for the purpose of establishing the NON-existence of something. The prosecution must PROVE something while the Defense must merely establish reasonable doubt that the Proof is lacking. In other words, the Prosecution must use FACTS.
Kickin' a.s and Takin' Names - 16 Mar 2009 02:32 GMT > >>>http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp > >> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 15 lines] > In case you haven't figured it out Snopes was compromised a while back > and is mostly unreliable now. Interesting.
Everyone -- except of course for "Patriot Games" -- is "compromised," is a "busted liar," or is "a fraud."
Right?
Anonymous Remailer - 16 Mar 2009 08:50 GMT In article <9aaf07d2-5c35-4c0d-a1b2- 36a29985579b@y13g2000yqn.googlegroups.com>
> > >>>http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp > > >> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 22 lines] > > Right? Get a clue. Snopes is comprised of two liberal frauds from alt.folklore.urban. They are no more authoritative than a coin- operated fortune teller.
Patriot Games - 16 Mar 2009 14:53 GMT >> >>>http://www.snopes.com/politics/immigration/shoplift.asp >> >> Unfortunately, your Snopes cite FAILED to interview anybody IN [quoted text clipped - 16 lines] >is a "busted liar," or is "a fraud." >Right? What part of "Snopes was compromised a while back and is mostly unreliable now" don't you understand?
Perhaps your filthy Lying, Stealing, and Fraud, (very well documented by me including being BANNED by Google), is making you paranoid?
|
|
|